Research-Backed Prompt

Assumption Audit (Ground Truth Validation)

Make all hidden assumptions explicit, then challenge each one with evidence. Catches false confidence. 41% of failures traced back to untested assumptions.

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Risk Management

Problem-Solving & Analysis

Assumption Audit (Ground Truth Validation)

Make all hidden assumptions explicit, then challenge each one with evidence. Catches false confidence. 41% of failures traced back to untested assumptions.

assumptions

validation

ground-truth

testing

critical-analysis

risk

Variables

Statement or Plan to Audit *

Prompt

Statement: 

Step 1: List ALL assumptions embedded in this
   - Stated assumptions
   - Implied assumptions  
   - Assumptions about the audience/context
   - Assumptions about constraints
   - Assumptions about human behavior

Step 2: For EACH assumption:
   a) Is this actually true? How do you know?
   b) What's the strongest counter-example?
   c) Under what conditions would this assumption break?
   d) How could you test it?
   e) What's the cost if you're wrong?

Step 3: Rank assumptions by:
   - Probability they're wrong
   - Impact if they are
   - Ease of testing

Step 4: Create a 30-day test plan to validate the top 5 assumptions.

Step 5: How would you adjust your approach if the top assumption proved false?

Examples

Input

{
  "statement": "Our new AI-powered code review tool will reduce code review time by 60% because it catches more bugs than humans and gives instant feedback."
}

Output

All assumptions listed and challenged, ranked by risk, 30-day validation plan for top 5, and contingency strategy if key assumptions fail.

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